Stock Market Cycles

Stock Market Cycles

Treasury yield curve inversion and cycle model signal trouble for stock markets (+)

Watch out: Downside risk is larger than follow-through upside gains

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Lars von Thienen
Aug 11, 2022
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The following chart shows the 10 year US treasury minus the 1 year treasury spread curve in blue. The current yield curve is negative which results in an inverted yield curve. Attention is keenly focused on the yield curve slope a…

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