Summary
Copper's short-term cycle indicates a downward movement until mid-June, but long-term cycles suggest an upward trend until early 2025. Technical analysis supports the short-term downward pressure, but a reversal into an upward movement is expected in the second half of June. Confirmation between price action and cycles is needed for a final analysis.
Key Insights
- Short-term cycles indicate a downward movement until mid-June, in alignment with technical sell signals.
- Long-term cycles suggest an upward trend until early 2025, with the current upswing just starting.
- Technical analysis with the cyclic tuned RSI indicates a short-term downward pressure, but not yet triggered an overbought condition for a sell confirmation.
- Weekly cycles need more time to complete the up phase, aligning with the long-term perspective of an upward trend until early 2025.
- Short-term downward pressure is expected until late June, but a reversal into an upward movement is anticipated thereafter.
- Final confirmation between price action and cycles needed to validate the analysis.
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Lars do you see the same bullish divergence in copper confirming the continuation of the upward long cycle as you do for SILJ?